BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football

C = conference
  * = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
  * = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
  Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
  Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
  X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
  * = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.

-----------------------------------------------

Estherville-Lincoln Central

Class: 2A Class Rank: 17 Conference: 2A-1 Record: (11-14-0) Overall: (46-49-0) Overall Strength =   69.12

  N Date       Location  C  Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rnk ( W - L - T ) Opponent               Resid M Predict
  1 08/31/2001 Away    L *  56.21   0  15   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon               -12.75     -2.25                      
  2 09/07/2001 Home    L *  51.50  20  21 1 2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake           -17.46     16.46                      
  3 09/14/2001 Away    L    47.67   6  18   2A  37 ( 24- 66-  0) Forest City           -21.30      9.30                      
  4 09/21/2001 Home    L     8.15   0  54   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                -60.82      6.82                      
  5 09/28/2001 Home    L    52.50   7  27   3A  23 ( 60- 37-  0) Boone                 -16.47     -3.53                      
  6 10/05/2001 Away    L    37.80   6  34   3A  46 ( 41- 53-  0) Webster City          -31.17      3.17                      
  7 10/12/2001 Away    L    50.46   7  28   3A  36 ( 46- 48-  0) Charles City          -18.51     -2.49                      
  8 10/19/2001 Home    W    73.54  15   6   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt                4.57      4.43                      
  9 10/26/2001 Home    L    59.35   6  33   3A   5 ( 99- 17-  0) Clear Lake             -9.62    -17.38                      
 10 09/06/2002 Away    L    37.24  14  33   1A  35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -31.72     12.72                      
 11 09/13/2002 Away    L *  70.21  18  19   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                 1.25     -2.25                      
 12 09/20/2002 Away    W    82.87  21   0   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake             13.90      7.10                      
 13 09/27/2002 Home    L    58.54   0   6   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt              -10.43      4.43                      
 14 10/04/2002 Away    W    73.21  14   6   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  4.24      3.76                      
 15 10/11/2002 Home    W *  97.50  45   0   2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake            28.54     16.46                      
 16 10/18/2002 Away    L    32.34   6  48   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley      -36.63     -5.37                      
 17 10/25/2002 Away    W    76.53  20  19   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer                 7.56     -6.56                      
 18 11/01/2002 Home    L    28.74   0  54   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                -40.22    -13.78                      
 19 09/05/2003 Home    W    56.19  10   7   1A  35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan      -12.78     15.78                      
 20 09/12/2003 Home    W *  86.16  24   6   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                17.19      0.81                      
 21 09/19/2003 Home    W    93.81  42   7   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake             24.85     10.15                      
 22 09/26/2003 Away    W    70.60  23  20   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt                1.63      1.37                      
 23 10/03/2003 Home    W    75.15  29  16   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  6.18      6.82                      
 24 10/10/2003 Away    W *  90.56  42   7   2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake            21.59     13.41                      
 25 10/17/2003 Home    W    85.28  21   7   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       16.31     -2.31                      
 26 10/24/2003 Home    W   100.48  35   7   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer                31.51     -3.51                      
 27 10/31/2003 Away    L    64.80   0  21   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 -4.17    -16.83                      
 28 11/05/2003 Away    L    59.80  14  40   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 -9.17    -16.83                      
 29 09/03/2004 Home    L    66.06   7  28   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg             -2.90    -18.10                      
 30 09/10/2004 Away    W *  81.21  16   6   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                12.25     -2.25                      
 31 09/17/2004 Home    L    39.54   6  31   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt              -29.43      4.43                      
 32 09/24/2004 Away    L    59.21  18  24   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                 -9.76      3.76                      
 33 10/01/2004 Home    L *  35.50   7  24   2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake           -33.46     16.46                      
 34 10/08/2004 Away    L    37.34  14  51   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley      -31.63     -5.37                      
 35 10/15/2004 Away    L    45.53   7  37   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer               -23.44     -6.56                      
 36 10/22/2004 Home    L    57.74   0  25   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                -11.22    -13.78                      
 37 10/29/2004 Away    L    31.87   0  30   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake            -37.10      7.10                      
 38 09/02/2005 Away    L    76.12   7  21   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg              7.15    -21.15                      
 39 09/09/2005 Home    L *  58.16   7  17   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon               -10.81      0.81                      
 40 09/16/2005 Away    L    44.60   0  23   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt              -24.37      1.37                      
 41 09/23/2005 Home    W    76.15  21   7   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  7.18      6.82                      
 42 09/30/2005 Away    W *  60.56  12   7   2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake            -8.41     13.41                      
 43 10/07/2005 Home    W    86.28  15   0   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       17.31     -2.31                      
 44 10/14/2005 Home    W    75.48  26  23   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer                 6.51     -3.51                      
 45 10/21/2005 Away    L    68.80   7  24   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 -0.17    -16.83                      
 46 10/28/2005 Home    W    85.81  33   6   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake             16.85     10.15                      
 47 09/01/2006 Home    L    63.54  26  27 4 3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt               -5.43      4.43                      
 48 09/08/2006 Away    W *  92.21  28   7   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                23.25     -2.25                      
 49 09/16/2006 Home    W *  95.28  57  13   2A  45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        26.31     17.69                      
 50 09/22/2006 Away    W    95.48  43   6   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      26.51     10.49                      
 51 09/29/2006 Home    W   103.06  16   0   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg             34.10    -18.10                      
 52 10/06/2006 Home    W    98.34  42   7   1A  19 ( 50- 45-  0) Eagle Grove            29.38      5.62                      
 53 10/13/2006 Away    W    72.26  14   6   2A  26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield       3.30      4.70                      
 54 10/20/2006 Away    W    81.26  35  16   2A  31 ( 21- 25-  0) Lake View East Sac     12.29      6.71                      
 55 10/27/2006 Home    W    95.91  42   6   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        26.94      9.06                      
 56 11/01/2006 Home    W    87.45  54  28   2A  25 ( 44- 49-  0) Cherokee Washington    18.48      7.52                      
 57 11/07/2006 Home    L *  77.27  14  20   2A   4 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR    8.30    -14.30                      
 58 08/31/2007 Away    L    64.60  14  17   3A  43 ( 43- 52-  0) Humboldt               -4.37      1.37                      
 59 09/07/2007 Home    L *  61.16  21  28   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                -7.81      0.81                      
 60 09/14/2007 Away    W *  87.33  39   6   2A  45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        18.37     14.63                      
 61 09/21/2007 Home    W    96.42  41   0   1A  30 ( 37- 57-  0) Manson NW Webster      27.46     13.54                      
 62 09/28/2007 Away    W    92.12  15  13   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg             23.15    -21.15                      
 63 10/05/2007 Away    W    80.40  21   7   1A  19 ( 50- 45-  0) Eagle Grove            11.43      2.57                      
 64 10/12/2007 Home    W   103.21  42   0   2A  26 ( 45- 47-  0) Clarion-Goldfield      34.24      7.76                      
 65 10/19/2007 Home    W    94.21  42   7   2A  31 ( 21- 25-  0) Lake View East Sac     25.24      9.76                      
 66 10/26/2007 Away    W   110.96  48   0   1A  24 ( 36- 58-  0) Garner-Hayfield        42.00      6.00                      
 67 10/31/2007 Home    W   105.33  35   7   3A  15 ( 65- 37-  0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley   36.37     -8.37                      
 68 11/06/2007 Away    L *  80.33  14  20 1 2A   4 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR   11.36    -17.36                      
 69 08/29/2008 Home    W *  80.16  25  13   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                11.19      0.81  non-district        
 70 09/05/2008 Away    W    69.24  20   7   1A  35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan        0.28     12.72  non-district        
 71 09/12/2008 Away    L    73.34  12  13 1 3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley        4.37     -5.37                      
 72 09/19/2008 Home    L    55.06   7  41   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -13.90    -20.10                      
 73 09/26/2008 Away    L    54.53   0  21   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer               -14.44     -6.56                      
 74 10/03/2008 Away    L    50.22   6  21   3A  47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton  -18.74      3.74                      
 75 10/10/2008 Home    W    94.96  20   3   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      25.99     -8.99                      
 76 10/17/2008 Home    W    85.81  41  14   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake             16.85     10.15                      
 77 10/24/2008 Away    W    86.80  22  21   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                 17.83    -16.83                      
 78 08/28/2009 Away    L *  65.21  14  20   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                -3.75     -2.25  nd                  
 79 09/04/2009 Home    W    88.19  41   6   1A  35 ( 28- 63-  0) Sibley-Ocheyedan       19.22     15.78  nd                  
 80 09/11/2009 Home    L    61.28  13  23   3A  29 ( 48- 49-  0) MOC-Floyd Valley       -7.69     -2.31                      
 81 09/19/2009 Neutral L    56.59   7  41   3A   4 ( 94- 22-  0) Sioux City Heelan     -12.38    -21.62                      
 82 09/25/2009 Home    L    38.48   0  34   3A  24 ( 45- 48-  0) Spencer               -30.49     -3.51                      
 83 10/02/2009 Home    L    59.17   7  10   3A  47 ( 41- 54-  0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton   -9.80      6.80                      
 84 10/09/2009 Away    L    67.02  14  28   3A  14 ( 54- 41-  0) Denison-Schleswig      -1.95    -12.05                      
 85 10/16/2009 Away    W    67.87  20  14   3A  54 ( 35- 55-  0) Storm Lake             -1.10      7.10                      
 86 10/23/2009 Home    L    77.74  20  25   3A  10 ( 74- 32-  0) LeMars                  8.78    -13.78                      
 87 08/27/2010 Home    L    58.06   0  29   1A   2 ( 97- 18-  0) Emmetsburg            -10.90    -18.10  ND                  
 88 09/03/2010 Away    W    77.21  19   7   3A  48 ( 36- 56-  0) Algona                  8.24      3.76  ND                  
 89 09/10/2010 Home    L *  59.16  19  28   2A  16 ( 57- 43-  0) Sheldon                -9.81      0.81                      
 90 09/17/2010 Away    L *  55.33   0  31   2A   4 ( 78- 30-  0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR  -13.64    -17.36                      
 91 09/24/2010 Home    W *  82.28  34   3   2A  45 ( 34- 58-  0) Milford Okoboji        13.31     17.69                      
 92 10/01/2010 Away    L *  41.57   0  20   2A  33 ( 21- 26-  0) Unity Christian       -27.39      7.39                      
 93 10/08/2010 Away    L *  43.56  12  24   2A  43 ( 17- 74-  0) Spirit Lake           -25.41     13.41                      
 94 10/15/2010 Home    W *  73.32  14  13   2A   7 ( 56- 38-  0) Sioux Center            4.35     -3.35                      
 95 10/22/2010 Away    L *  43.30  14  34   2A  28 ( 28- 41-  0) Western Christian     -25.66      5.66                      
      Averages              69.12  18.4 18.2

Best game:  110.96 = 48 point win over Garner-Hayfield
Worst game:   8.15 = 54 point loss to Algona
Team stdev:  20.62