BCMoore Rankings - Iowa High School Football
C = conference
* = game played against a conference opponent
D = district
* = game played against a district opponent
Stren = rating of individual game played by team, standard regression
O = overtime
Resid = measure of team performance versus expectation.
Negative Resid = team played below expectations.
Positive Resid = team played above expectations.
M = modifications:
X = game is excluded from pre-regression data set.
* = game is excluded when developing post-regression Mod score.
Predict = standard regression rankings for played games.
Predict = modified regression rankings for future games.
Team Stdev = measure of variability of the team based on Stren scores.
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Estherville-Lincoln Central
Class: 2A Class Rank: 16 Conference: Lakes Record: (15-17-0) Overall: (46-49-0) Overall Strength = 69.12
N Date Location C D Stren Pts Opp O Cl Rk ( W - L - T ) Opponent Resid M Predict
1 08-31-2001 Away L * 56.20 0 15 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon -12.76 -2.24
2 09-07-2001 Home L * * 51.49 20 21 1 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake -17.47 16.47
3 09-14-2001 Away L 47.67 6 18 2A 37 ( 24- 66- 0) Forest City -21.29 9.29
4 09-21-2001 Home L 8.22 0 54 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona -60.74 6.74
5 09-28-2001 Home L 52.51 7 27 3A 22 ( 60- 37- 0) Boone -16.45 -3.55
6 10-05-2001 Away L 37.81 6 34 3A 46 ( 41- 53- 0) Webster City -31.15 3.15
7 10-12-2001 Away L 50.47 7 28 3A 35 ( 46- 48- 0) Charles City -18.49 -2.51
8 10-19-2001 Home W 73.55 15 6 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt 4.58 4.42
9 10-26-2001 Home L 59.36 6 33 3A 4 ( 99- 17- 0) Clear Lake -9.60 -17.40
10 09-06-2002 Away L 37.24 14 33 1A 35 ( 28- 63- 0) Sibley-Ocheyedan -31.72 12.72
11 09-13-2002 Away L * 70.20 18 19 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon 1.24 -2.24
12 09-20-2002 Away W * 82.86 21 0 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake 13.89 7.11
13 09-27-2002 Home L 58.55 0 6 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt -10.42 4.42
14 10-04-2002 Away W 73.28 14 6 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona 4.32 3.68
15 10-11-2002 Home W * * 97.49 45 0 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake 28.53 16.47
16 10-18-2002 Away L 32.32 6 48 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley -36.64 -5.36
17 10-25-2002 Away W * 76.45 20 19 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer 7.49 -6.49
18 11-01-2002 Home L * 28.73 0 54 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars -40.23 -13.77
19 09-05-2003 Home W 56.18 10 7 1A 35 ( 28- 63- 0) Sibley-Ocheyedan -12.78 15.78
20 09-12-2003 Home W * 86.15 24 6 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon 17.19 0.81
21 09-19-2003 Home W * 93.80 42 7 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake 24.84 10.16
22 09-26-2003 Away W 70.60 23 20 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt 1.64 1.36
23 10-03-2003 Home W 75.22 29 16 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona 6.26 6.74
24 10-10-2003 Away W * * 90.55 42 7 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake 21.59 13.41
25 10-17-2003 Home W 85.27 21 7 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley 16.31 -2.31
26 10-24-2003 Home W * 100.40 35 7 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer 31.44 -3.44
27 10-31-2003 Away L * 64.79 0 21 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars -4.17 -16.83
28 11-05-2003 Away L * 59.79 14 40 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars -9.17 -16.83
29 09-03-2004 Home L * 66.06 7 28 1A 1 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg -2.90 -18.10
30 09-10-2004 Away W * 81.20 16 6 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon 12.24 -2.24
31 09-17-2004 Home L 39.55 6 31 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt -29.42 4.42
32 09-24-2004 Away L 59.28 18 24 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona -9.68 3.68
33 10-01-2004 Home L * * 35.49 7 24 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake -33.47 16.47
34 10-08-2004 Away L 37.32 14 51 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley -31.64 -5.36
35 10-15-2004 Away L * 45.45 7 37 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer -23.51 -6.49
36 10-22-2004 Home L * 57.73 0 25 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars -11.23 -13.77
37 10-29-2004 Away L * 31.86 0 30 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake -37.11 7.11
38 09-02-2005 Away L * 76.11 7 21 1A 1 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg 7.15 -21.15
39 09-09-2005 Home L * 58.15 7 17 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon -10.81 0.81
40 09-16-2005 Away L 44.60 0 23 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt -24.36 1.36
41 09-23-2005 Home W 76.22 21 7 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona 7.26 6.74
42 09-30-2005 Away W * * 60.55 12 7 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake -8.41 13.41
43 10-07-2005 Home W 86.27 15 0 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley 17.31 -2.31
44 10-14-2005 Home W * 75.40 26 23 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer 6.44 -3.44
45 10-21-2005 Away L * 68.79 7 24 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars -0.17 -16.83
46 10-28-2005 Home W * 85.80 33 6 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake 16.84 10.16
47 09-01-2006 Home L 63.55 26 27 4 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt -5.42 4.42
48 09-08-2006 Away W * 92.20 28 7 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon 23.24 -2.24
49 09-16-2006 Home W * 95.27 57 13 2A 45 ( 34- 58- 0) Milford Okoboji 26.31 17.69
50 09-22-2006 Away W 95.48 43 6 1A 30 ( 37- 57- 0) Manson NW Webster 26.52 10.48
51 09-29-2006 Home W * 103.06 16 0 1A 1 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg 34.10 -18.10
52 10-06-2006 Home W 98.34 42 7 1A 19 ( 50- 45- 0) Eagle Grove 29.38 5.62
53 10-13-2006 Away W 72.26 14 6 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield 3.30 4.70
54 10-20-2006 Away W 81.26 35 16 2A 31 ( 21- 25- 0) Lake View East Sac 12.30 6.70
55 10-27-2006 Home W 95.91 42 6 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 26.95 9.05
56 11-01-2006 Home W * 87.44 54 28 2A 25 ( 44- 49- 0) Cherokee Washington 18.48 7.52
57 11-07-2006 Home L * 77.26 14 20 2A 2 ( 78- 30- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 8.30 -14.30
58 08-31-2007 Away L 64.60 14 17 3A 43 ( 43- 52- 0) Humboldt -4.36 1.36
59 09-07-2007 Home L * 61.15 21 28 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon -7.81 0.81
60 09-14-2007 Away W * 87.33 39 6 2A 45 ( 34- 58- 0) Milford Okoboji 18.37 14.63
61 09-21-2007 Home W 96.42 41 0 1A 30 ( 37- 57- 0) Manson NW Webster 27.46 13.54
62 09-28-2007 Away W * 92.11 15 13 1A 1 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg 23.15 -21.15
63 10-05-2007 Away W 80.40 21 7 1A 19 ( 50- 45- 0) Eagle Grove 11.44 2.56
64 10-12-2007 Home W 103.21 42 0 2A 26 ( 45- 47- 0) Clarion-Goldfield 34.25 7.75
65 10-19-2007 Home W 94.20 42 7 2A 31 ( 21- 25- 0) Lake View East Sac 25.24 9.76
66 10-26-2007 Away W 110.96 48 0 1A 24 ( 36- 58- 0) Garner-Hayfield 42.00 6.00
67 10-31-2007 Home W 105.33 35 7 3A 14 ( 65- 37- 0) Boyden-Hull-R Valley 36.37 -8.37
68 11-06-2007 Away L * 80.32 14 20 1 2A 2 ( 78- 30- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR 11.36 -17.36
69 08-29-2008 Home W * 80.15 25 13 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon 11.19 0.81 non-district
70 09-05-2008 Away W 69.24 20 7 1A 35 ( 28- 63- 0) Sibley-Ocheyedan 0.28 12.72 non-district
71 09-12-2008 Away L 73.32 12 13 1 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley 4.36 -5.36
72 09-19-2008 Home L 55.05 7 41 3A 3 ( 94- 22- 0) Sioux City Heelan -13.91 -20.09
73 09-26-2008 Away L * 54.45 0 21 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer -14.51 -6.49
74 10-03-2008 Away L 50.21 6 21 3A 48 ( 41- 54- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -18.75 3.75
75 10-10-2008 Home W 94.95 20 3 3A 13 ( 54- 41- 0) Denison-Schleswig 25.99 -8.99
76 10-17-2008 Home W * 85.80 41 14 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake 16.84 10.16
77 10-24-2008 Away W * 86.79 22 21 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars 17.83 -16.83
78 08-28-2009 Away L * 65.20 14 20 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon -3.76 -2.24 nd
79 09-04-2009 Home W 88.18 41 6 1A 35 ( 28- 63- 0) Sibley-Ocheyedan 19.22 15.78 nd
80 09-11-2009 Home L 61.27 13 23 3A 28 ( 48- 49- 0) MOC-Floyd Valley -7.69 -2.31
81 09-19-2009 Neutral L 56.58 7 41 3A 3 ( 94- 22- 0) Sioux City Heelan -12.38 -21.62
82 09-25-2009 Home L * 38.40 0 34 3A 23 ( 45- 48- 0) Spencer -30.56 -3.44
83 10-02-2009 Home L 59.16 7 10 3A 48 ( 41- 54- 0) Sergeant Bluff-Luton -9.80 6.80
84 10-09-2009 Away L 67.00 14 28 3A 13 ( 54- 41- 0) Denison-Schleswig -1.96 -12.04
85 10-16-2009 Away W * 67.86 20 14 3A 54 ( 35- 55- 0) Storm Lake -1.11 7.11
86 10-23-2009 Home L * 77.73 20 25 3A 9 ( 74- 32- 0) LeMars 8.77 -13.77
87 08-27-2010 Home L * 58.06 0 29 1A 1 ( 97- 18- 0) Emmetsburg -10.90 -18.10 ND
88 09-03-2010 Away W 77.28 19 7 3A 47 ( 36- 56- 0) Algona 8.32 3.68 ND
89 09-10-2010 Home L * 59.15 19 28 2A 15 ( 57- 43- 0) Sheldon -9.81 0.81
90 09-17-2010 Away L * 55.32 0 31 2A 2 ( 78- 30- 0) Central Lyon CL-G-LR -13.64 -17.36
91 09-24-2010 Home W * 82.27 34 3 2A 45 ( 34- 58- 0) Milford Okoboji 13.31 17.69
92 10-01-2010 Away L * 41.57 0 20 2A 33 ( 21- 26- 0) Unity Christian -27.39 7.39
93 10-08-2010 Away L * * 43.55 12 24 2A 43 ( 17- 74- 0) Spirit Lake -25.41 13.41
94 10-15-2010 Home W * 73.31 14 13 2A 6 ( 56- 38- 0) Sioux Center 4.35 -3.35
95 10-22-2010 Away L * * 43.30 14 34 2A 28 ( 28- 41- 0) Western Christian -25.66 5.66
Averages 69.12 18.4 18.2
Best game: 110.96 = 48 point win over Garner-Hayfield
Worst game: 8.22 = 54 point loss to Algona
Team stdev: 20.62